Take advantage of the US markets during the election with Marketsx

The race to the White House is on. And we’ve got all the best analysis and coverage right here. Join us for every speech, every outburst and every gaffe, as well as the most up-to-minute polling figures. And we’ve created two unique one-off tradeable assets so you can take a position on the outcome right now.

Trade Trump 20   Trade Biden 20

Trading The Election

The outcome of the US Election depends on who swing state voters perceive to be the candidate best placed to fight the twin health and economic crises. To become president, Biden or Trump will need to secure 270 Electoral College votes. Be the best-informed trader with our state-by-state polling tracker.

Trump

42.8%

Biden

50.7%

42.8%
6.5%
50.7%
43.1%
6.3%
50.6%
42.5%
6.4%
51.1%
42.4%
6.3%
51.3%
42.4%
6.3%
51.3%
42.3%
6.4%
51.3%
42.3%
6.5%
51.2%
42.3%
6%
51.7%
42.3%
6.2%
51.5%
41.6%
6.8%
51.6%
41.6%
6.6%
51.8%
41.8%
6.1%
52.1%
41.8%
6.4%
51.8%
42.0%
6.3%
51.7%
42.0%
6.2%
51.8%
41.9%
6.5%
51.6%
42.2%
6.6%
51.2%
42.2%
7.1%
50.7%
42.5%
6.9%
50.6%
42.7%
6.8%
50.5%
42.9%
6.8%
50.3%
42.9%
7%
50.1%
43.1%
7.2%
49.7%
43.3%
7.3%
49.4%
42.9%
7.4%
49.7%
42.8%
7.4%
49.8%
43.0%
7.1%
49.9%
42.9%
7.5%
49.6%
42.9%
7.3%
49.8%
42.9%
7.1%
50.0%
43.1%
7.2%
49.7%
43.0%
7.5%
49.5%
42.9%
7.7%
49.4%
43.0%
7.5%
49.5%
43.1%
7.6%
49.3%
43.2%
7.8%
49.0%
43.1%
7.9%
49.0%
42.9%
7.4%
49.7%
42.9%
7.1%
50.0%
42.9%
6.8%
50.3%
42.7%
6.8%
50.5%
42.6%
6.8%
50.6%
43.0%
6.5%
50.5%
42.9%
6.7%
50.4%
42.8%
7.3%
49.9%
42.8%
7.3%
49.9%
42.8%
7.5%
49.7%
42.6%
7.8%
49.6%
42.6%
7.8%
49.6%
42.4%
8%
49.6%
42.4%
8%
49.6%
43.0%
8%
49.0%
43.3%
7.1%
49.6%
42.8%
7.5%
49.7%
42.8%
7.5%
49.7%
42.7%
7.7%
49.6%
42.5%
7.9%
49.6%
42.5%
7.9%
49.6%
42.3%
8%
49.7%
42.3%
7.6%
50.1%
42.3%
7.6%
50.1%
42.4%
7.6%
50.0%
42.2%
8%
49.8%
42.3%
8%
49.7%
42.3%
8%
49.7%
42.4%
7.6%
50.0%
42.5%
7.3%
50.2%
42.5%
7.3%
50.2%
41.9%
8.3%
49.8%
41.6%
9.1%
49.3%
41.8%
9%
49.2%
41.8%
8.9%
49.3%
41.9%
9%
49.1%
42.0%
9.1%
48.9%
42.0%
9.1%
48.9%
42.7%
8.2%
49.1%
42.7%
8.2%
49.1%
42.7%
8.2%
49.1%
42.7%
8.2%
49.1%
42.4%
8.2%
49.4%
42.0%
8.6%
49.4%
42.0%
8.6%
49.4%
42.0%
8.6%
49.4%
42.1%
8%
49.9%
41.6%
8.5%
49.9%
41.7%
8.2%
50.1%
41.5%
8%
50.5%
41.3%
8.1%
50.6%
41.3%
8.1%
50.6%
40.9%
9.1%
50.0%
40.9%
9.5%
49.6%
40.9%
9.5%
49.6%
40.9%
9.5%
49.6%
40.8%
9.7%
49.5%
40.7%
10%
49.3%
40.7%
10%
49.3%
40.6%
10%
49.4%
40.1%
11.2%
48.7%
40.1%
11.2%
48.7%
40.1%
11.2%
48.7%
40.2%
10.8%
49.0%
40.2%
10.8%
49.0%
40.2%
10.8%
49.0%
40.3%
10.4%
49.3%
40.3%
10.4%
49.3%
40.3%
10.4%
49.3%
40.8%
9.6%
49.6%
40.9%
9.5%
49.6%
40.9%
9.5%
49.6%
40.9%
9.5%
49.6%
40.9%
9.5%
49.6%
40.5%
10.2%
49.3%
40.0%
10.7%
49.3%
40.3%
10%
49.7%
40.4%
9.6%
50.0%
40.4%
9.6%
50.0%
40.3%
10.2%
49.5%
40.1%
10.4%
49.5%
40.2%
10.1%
49.7%
40.6%
8.8%
50.6%
40.9%
8.1%
51.0%
40.9%
8%
51.1%
41.4%
7.4%
51.2%
41.4%
7.4%
51.2%
41.1%
8.3%
50.6%
41.1%
8.3%
50.6%
41.3%
8.6%
50.1%
41.6%
8.3%
50.1%
41.7%
8.1%
50.2%
41.7%
8.2%
50.1%
41.7%
8.2%
50.1%
41.7%
8.5%
49.8%
41.7%
8.5%
49.8%
41.7%
8.5%
49.8%
41.7%
8.5%
49.8%
41.7%
8.5%
49.8%
41.6%
8.8%
49.6%
42.4%
8%
49.6%
42.1%
8.4%
49.5%
42.2%
8.5%
49.3%
42.1%
8.6%
49.3%
42.1%
8%
49.9%
41.5%
9.5%
49.0%
42.2%
8.8%
49.0%
42.5%
9.1%
48.4%
42.4%
9.9%
47.7%
42.4%
9.9%
47.7%
42.4%
9.9%
47.7%
42.4%
9.9%
47.7%
42.4%
9.6%
48.0%
42.4%
9.6%
48.0%
42.4%
9.6%
48.0%
42.9%
8.7%
48.4%
42.9%
8.7%
48.4%
42.9%
8.7%
48.4%
43.1%
8.2%
48.7%
43.7%
7.7%
48.6%
43.9%
7.5%
48.6%
43.7%
7.9%
48.4%
43.7%
7.9%
48.4%
43.2%
9.1%
47.7%
43.2%
9.1%
47.7%
43.2%
9.1%
47.7%
42.6%
10.4%
47.0%
42.6%
10.4%
47.0%
42.4%
10.8%
46.8%
42.4%
10.8%
46.8%
42.4%
10.8%
46.8%
42.0%
10.7%
47.3%
42.0%
10.7%
47.3%
42.1%
10.3%
47.6%
42.3%
9.7%
48.0%
42.4%
9.9%
47.7%
42.4%
9.9%
47.7%
42.1%
10.5%
47.4%

Donald Trump

Trump’s tax reform slashed the effective tax rate paid by the median S&P 500 company from 27% to 19%, boosting average earnings by 10%. A Democrat clean sweep could roll back tax cuts and slash earnings by 12%, so we’ve put together 20 of the stocks most affected by tax cuts into one Blend, the Trump20.

Joe Biden

A Democrat victory could usher in a revolution in clean energy, with Biden’s $2 trillion green infrastructure promising to deliver 100 percent clean electricity by 2035. We’ve put together a tradeable basket consisting of stocks most likely to benefit from more spending on clean energy together with some marijuana stocks that may enjoy greater liberalisation at a Federal level should the Democrats win.

Top Movers

Traders Trend

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Create a trading account today to take advantage of the US markets during the 2020 presidential election

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Calendar of events

From the August conventions to the televised debates in September and October, stay up to date with every single important event in the run-up to the election in November.

Debates

Primaries and Caucuses

National Conventions

General Election

Latest Election News & Reports

Fri, 16 Oct 2020

US General Election

Race for the Senate: The Key Battlegrounds

As this election cycle enters the final stretch, the battle for the upper chamber will become increasingly prominent. No matter who resides in the White House come 2021, the success or failure of their term will largely rest on the Senate’s shoulders. Here, we will take each of the competitive races in turn, and seek […]

Tue, 13 Oct 2020

US General Election

Blonde Money: US Presidential Election – It’ll be Alright on the Night

Many expect November’s election results to be chaotic, with predictions that coronavirus and political polarisation will result in recount requests and mail-in voting delaying results by weeks. In reality, the logistics and legislation that underpin the voting process mean a delayed result is very unlikely. From an electoral perspective, the 2020 election may even deliver […]

Written By:
Helen Thomas

Fri, 09 Oct 2020

US General Election

Election update: Blue-nami flips to consensus bull catalyst

US presidential election update: Bank of America strategists say the Blue-nami outcome, which had been initially considered negative for equities, is being priced in better by the market and may now be a positive. “Blue wave election outcome (Democrats winning) has curiously flipped from consensus bear to bull catalyst in recent months,” they say.  The […]

Written By:
Neil Wilson

Fri, 02 Oct 2020

US General Election

Stocks sink as Trump tests positive for Covid-19

President Trump and First Lady Melania have tested positive for Covid-19. How has the market reacted, and what does this mean for the US Presidential Election? Stay on top of the polls and all the latest election news with our dedicated US Presidential Election site.

Written By:
Rewan Tremethick

Thu, 01 Oct 2020

US General Election

Who won the first US presidential debate?

Blonde Money CEO and XRay regular Helen Thomas recaps what we learned – or didn’t – from the first debate of the US Presidential Election between President Trump and Joe Biden. Don’t forget you can catch the latest insight from Helen every week on XRay.  

Written By:
Helen Thomas

Fri, 25 Sep 2020

US General Election

US Presidential Election: To Vote, or Not to Vote – That is the Question

As the 2020 US Presidential Election creeps into view, the United States is a country divided. With polarisation increasingly prominent, and ever-stronger partisan loyalty, the famed ‘floating voter’ is nearing extinction. Whilst almost 40% of the electorate identify themselves as independents, these figures hide a residual bias which exists in most. Recent research has found […]

Written By:
Helen Thomas

Thu, 24 Sep 2020

US General Election

US election playbook: navigating the volatility with 40 days to go

Temporary dislocation Too many variables Bigger risks ahead Given the once-in-a-lifetime pandemic, the US election is being held in exceptional circumstances. All else being equal though, we can deduce something about how current polling might play out. The market consensus is that a Biden win and Democrat clean sweep will lead to higher taxes and […]

Written By:
Neil Wilson

Mon, 21 Sep 2020

US General Election

Congressional Elections: Why do they matter?

While the race for the White House has received outsized attention, developments such as the failure to reach a new coronavirus relief bill and the looming threat of a government shutdown have heightened the stakes in the battle for control of Congress. The House of Representatives looks firmly in the hands of the Democrats after […]

Written By:
Helen Thomas

Fri, 18 Sep 2020

US General Election

Blue-nami or Red Wave? How the US election result could impact markets

How will the US Presidential Election impact markets? Will there be Democratic sweep of all three houses; the White House and both houses of Congress? Or can Donald Trump defy the pollsters and hold on for four more years? Whatever the result, there is sure to be an impact on financial markets. We’ve put together […]

Written By:
Neil Wilson

Fri, 04 Sep 2020

US General Election

US Presidential Election Weekly: Federal Reserve & US Election

Our resident political commentator, XRay regular and Blonde Money CEO Helen Thomas, takes a look at the latest big developments in the race for the White House. This week, the focus is on why the Federal Reserve’s switch to average inflation targeting could help Donald Trump in the polls over the coming weeks. Don’t forget […]

Written By:
Rewan Tremethick

Trade the Biden 20 or Trump 20 to cash in on the US election

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Tweet or Sour?

Social media is a powerful election weapon but needs to be handled carefully. Keep track of who’s winning the Twitter war right here.